Our Tijuana vs Toluca Prediction: 1-2
Tijuana vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 23, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tijuana's Last Match – Tijuana vs Monterrey
Tijuana will be hoping to return to winning ways after a 2-2 Mexico Liga MX draw with Monterrey on October 6. In that match, Tijuana saw 46% of the ball and created 6 goal attempts, with 5 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tijuana | 46% | 6 (5) | 1.34 | 41 |
 Monterrey | 54% | 12 (6) | 1.43 | 54 |
Toluca's Last Match – Leon vs Toluca
Toluca must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-2 Mexico Liga MX victory over Leon in their last outing. In that match, Toluca controlled 48% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 6 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Leon | 52% | 9 (4) | 1.83 | 0 |
 Toluca | 48% | 11 (6) | 2.51 | 0 |
Tijuana vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Tijuana | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 1.57 |
| 1.02 | Defence Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tijuana are averaging 2.2 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.6 scored and 1.1 conceded per game.