Our Tijuana vs Toluca Prediction: 1-2
Tijuana vs Toluca in the Mexico Liga MX is scheduled for an 03:00 GMT kick-off on Thursday October 23, 2025. A 1-2 win for the visitors is our expected outcome, though BTTS looks like a solid alternative given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
→ View Today's Full-Time Score Predictions
Recent Form Insights
Tijuana's Last Match – Puebla vs Tijuana
Tijuana will be looking to bounce back after a 3-4 Mexico Liga MX defeat against Puebla on October 18. In that match, Tijuana saw 46% of the ball and created 3 goal attempts, with 3 on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Puebla | 54% | 4 (9) | 1.93 | 37 |
 Tijuana | 46% | 3 (3) | 2.25 | 24 |
Toluca's Last Match – Toluca vs Queretaro
Toluca must win to build on their momentum after securing a hard-fought 4-0 Mexico Liga MX victory over Queretaro in their last outing. In that match, Toluca controlled 63% of possession and managed 11 shots on goal, with 0 hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Toluca | 63% | 11 (0) | - | 0 |
 Queretaro | 37% | 11 (0) | - | 0 |
Tijuana vs Toluca Stats
Key Stats
| Tijuana | Toluca | |
|---|---|---|
| 1.41 | Attacking Strength | 1.57 |
| 1.02 | Defence Strength | 0.61 |
| 1.6 | Points Per Game | 2.3 |
| 4/10 | WIN | 7/10 |
| 4/10 | DRAW | 2/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 2/10 |
| 5/10 | BTTS | 7/10 |
| 6/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 7/10 |
| 2.2 | Average Scored | 2.6 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tijuana are averaging 2.3 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per match, while Toluca average 2.9 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.