Our Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Prediction: 1-0
Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 12:00 GMT kick-off on Sunday November 30, 2025. With both defenses expected to hold firm, a 1-0 win for Mara Sugar FC seems the most probable outcome against Tusker.
This Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker prediction is backed by a deep dive into both teams' recent performances, key stats and head-to-head history — all of which you'll find detailed below to help you make an informed betting decision.
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Recent Form Insights
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Mara Sugar FC vs KCB
After suffering a 0-1 Kenya Premier League loss to KCB, Mara Sugar FC must win to get back on track. In that match, Mara Sugar FC recorded 54% possession, firing 1 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mara Sugar FC | 54% | 0 (1) | - | 73 |
 KCB | 46% | 0 (4) | - | 79 |
Tusker's Last Match – Gor Mahia vs Tusker
Tusker will be eager to respond after suffering a 0-1 Kenya Premier League defeat at the hands of Gor Mahia on November 22. In that match, Tusker had 46% possession and 2 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Gor Mahia | 54% | 0 (5) | - | 49 |
 Tusker | 46% | 0 (2) | - | 52 |
Mara Sugar FC vs Tusker Stats
Key Stats
| Mara Sugar FC | Tusker | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.37 | Attacking Strength | 0.77 |
| 0.44 | Defence Strength | 1.49 |
| 1.1 | Points Per Game | 1.2 |
| 2/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 5/10 | DRAW | 3/10 |
| 4/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 3/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 2/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 3/10 |
| 0.7 | Average Scored | 0.8 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Mara Sugar FC are averaging 0.7 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per match, while Tusker average 0.8 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.