Our Tusker vs Mara Sugar FC Prediction: 1-1
Tusker vs Mara Sugar FC in the Kenya Premier League is scheduled for an 13:00 GMT kick-off on Friday April 24, 2026. We expect a 1-1 result in a tightly contested match, with BTTS looking like a reliable bet given both teams’ recent scoring form.
This forecast is grounded in a thorough analysis of recent form, team statistics and historical matchups — all explored in detail below to support your betting decisions.
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Recent Form Insights
Tusker's Last Match – Tusker vs Gor Mahia
Tusker will want to continue their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League victory over Gor Mahia, knowing this is a must-win match for their campaign. In that match, Tusker recorded 41% possession and 1 shots hitting the target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Tusker | 41% | 0 (1) | - | 70 |
 Gor Mahia | 59% | 0 (7) | - | 120 |
Mara Sugar FC's Last Match – Mara Sugar FC vs Posta Rangers
Mara Sugar FC will look to carry forward their winning form after a 1-0 Kenya Premier League success over Posta Rangers on April 6. In that match, Mara Sugar FC recorded 50% possession, firing 4 shots on target.
| Team | Possession | Shots (on target) | xG | Dangerous Attacks |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Mara Sugar FC | 50% | 0 (4) | - | 89 |
 Posta Rangers | 50% | 0 (1) | - | 62 |
Tusker vs Mara Sugar FC Stats
Key Stats
| Tusker | Mara Sugar FC | |
|---|---|---|
| 0.98 | Attacking Strength | 0.98 |
| 1.2 | Defence Strength | 1.27 |
| 1.8 | Points Per Game | 1.4 |
| 6/10 | WIN | 3/10 |
| 0/10 | DRAW | 5/10 |
| 5/10 | Clean Sheets | 3/10 |
| 1/10 | BTTS | 5/10 |
| 1/10 | Over 2.5 Goals | 4/10 |
| 0.9 | Average Scored | 1.2 |
Goals Scored vs Goals Conceded
Tusker are averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per match, while Mara Sugar FC average 1.2 scored and 1.0 conceded per game.